Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.140199 3.684237 4.264616 4.926728 5.658028 6.438033 7.329812
2024-10-13 2.415033 3.170915 4.038122 5.093176 6.328565 7.716311 9.379767
2024-10-20 1.866399 2.731941 3.794809 5.163653 6.847393 8.819690 11.272560
2024-10-27 1.409282 2.305456 3.482545 5.081894 7.138461 9.636808 12.841944
2024-11-03 1.145175 2.074121 3.369262 5.210589 7.665526 10.734883 14.767998
2024-11-10 0.929444 1.864078 3.244893 5.292645 8.113275 11.730131 16.581618
2024-11-17 0.713140 1.604811 3.008283 5.183707 8.280988 12.353280 17.926194
2024-11-24 0.539248 1.373257 2.774972 5.044981 8.381239 12.871941 19.131877
2024-12-01 0.422004 1.212768 2.626468 5.008205 8.607441 13.550628 20.549423
2024-12-08 0.324223 1.062571 2.470599 4.938766 8.771296 14.137274 21.847075
2024-12-15 0.284976 1.026659 2.506031 5.169305 9.379207 15.347408 24.003327
2024-12-22 0.229225 0.935691 2.427927 5.204319 9.688844 16.141633 25.604820
2024-12-29 0.204963 0.919133 2.491848 5.486792 10.397221 17.535069 28.081940
2025-01-05 0.177235 0.884829 2.516584 5.702765 11.010234 18.807970 30.420479
2025-01-12 0.144017 0.822005 2.474531 5.796909 11.432692 19.813412 32.404370
2025-01-19 0.105729 0.723851 2.342277 5.716736 11.569131 20.399395 33.805580
2025-01-26 0.087218 0.685355 2.334327 5.860697 12.069712 21.530244 35.994257
2025-02-02 0.069450 0.639182 2.301014 5.951861 12.482405 22.534136 38.012963
2025-02-09 0.047531 0.556485 2.165670 5.834489 12.538721 22.998160 39.258853
2025-02-16 0.030446 0.477020 2.021344 5.684139 12.527484 23.352793 40.345646
2025-02-23 0.020434 0.424422 1.936382 5.644362 12.700519 23.989428 41.849194
2025-03-02 0.012648 0.371739 1.839139 5.568923 12.804453 24.516641 43.195520
2025-03-09 0.010811 0.370406 1.893391 5.819697 13.493853 25.972413 45.935111